Maybe in the Hacker News echo chamber this all sounds plausible.
But where I live in the real world all I see is software getting worse and worse. It doesn't do ANYTHING automatically anymore and can't be scripted, every 'app' is a silo and has to be constantly tended to by humans. Useful functionality is actually removed and more time is spent on UI visuals than making it usable. This is made worse by the tendency of surveillance software to require humans to interact with it constantly in order to harvest information, interactions or to display ads.
At some point this bubble will burst, the ridiculous tech valuations will crash and we'll be back looking for solutions to real problems again.
I think you are on to something. But I don't think the day X will ever come. It is more like the divide between the best software and the average is going to grow and grow.
We will see the amplitude of (critical) failures increase further and their occurrence frequency rising as well. It is and will continue to be evaluated statistically: The cost of actually fixing them vs. the cost of just letting them run wild.
But where I live in the real world all I see is software getting worse and worse. It doesn't do ANYTHING automatically anymore and can't be scripted, every 'app' is a silo and has to be constantly tended to by humans. Useful functionality is actually removed and more time is spent on UI visuals than making it usable. This is made worse by the tendency of surveillance software to require humans to interact with it constantly in order to harvest information, interactions or to display ads.
At some point this bubble will burst, the ridiculous tech valuations will crash and we'll be back looking for solutions to real problems again.