As someone who works in Detroit, I think that the city is a lot more fragile than people like to believe. Quicken Loans is just as vulnerable as the auto makers due to the fact that its core business is dependent upon consumer demand. Fewer people buying homes due to economic factors like rate raises and a general downturn in the economy is going to hit them hard. Sure, there's other companies downtown like GM in the RenCen, BCBS, and StockX, but Quicken Loans is the juggernaut.
as a young person i'm constantly looking for cheap areas to live with growth prospects. i went to detroit for a weekend last year and was just stunned by how cheap some of the property is, but also how run down the east side of town is, it's unfathomable to believe that could happen to an american city until you visit. on a block of 10 houses there would be 5 empty/stripped, 4 rundown, 1 artist commune.
i just don't see what the growth prospects are for detroit. i don't think manufacturing is coming back anytime soon to the US, and in terms of natural resources/weather detroit seems limited. the music scene is cool, but not the serious tax revenue generator the city needs. as a resident are you seeing any growth industries cropping up?
i checked out stockx it's like an ebay focused narrowly on street wear. i guess tech$co$ acquiring this could provide some jobs but isn't ebay laying off/rebranding and doesn't craigslist (similar concept) operate with 50 employees? hopefully the car industry can overcome AV level 3+ challenges and bring some affordable autos to mkt soon with true hands off autonomous (level 3) capabilities
The biggest issue in my opinion are Detroit schools, they're just abysmal. Directly to the south of the houses I posted is a separate group of cities called the Grosse Pointes. They're in the same county as Detroit, but they're their own cities complete with different schools. The same houses I posted above would go for 1.5-2x their price if they were less than a mile south simply due to the school districts.
While you're unlikely to find anything like that today, the prices vary widely depending on which part of the city you look at. According to Zillow, the median price is $41.5k but the range is massive (i.e. low 5-figures at the low end to (I believe) low 7-figures at the high end)
What's even more worrying is that years after the bailout, investment and economic stabilization, detroit's population is still declining ( although at a slower rate ).
If people are leaving when times are good, what will happen during a recession?
Moreover QL's technology is as brittle as GM's or Ford's. They happen to have an acute focus on customer service and marketing which made them number 1. But it's a matter of time before someone automates the hell out of the mortgage industry correctly. As far as I've seen, it's Shore Mortgage.
