More simply, Facebook will change when users stop using it. People vote with their time and attention. Many complain about Facebook's stance towards privacy or whatever, but they say one thing and then go back to using it (yes, I know, you, the person about to reply, you are different; that's great, but you're statistically invisible).
Facebook measures how people behave, not what pundits say.
I also really annoy my friends. Essentially Facebook has redefined a friend as someone that will still bother to contact you and invite you to things even though you aren't on Facebook.
Banner adds since I switched to Android this year were interesting as I used to use my gmail account for FB. First, a week of banner ads saying "come back to Facebook"; Very Uber-creepy. Then a week of sign up for Instagram! Followed by a week of "Facebook messenger doesn't require a facebook account!" which I don't understand.
At that point, I created a new Google account and deleted my old one. Now I see ads for foot fungus!
> "Facebook messenger doesn't require a facebook account!" which I don't understand.
You can actually sign up for a Messenger account independently of a Facebook account. However, this doesn't seem to be well supported. There is no way that I can tell to delete a Messenger-only account, or to remove contacts that were automatically uploaded from your phone.
Bad news for you: when you use Messenger without a Facebook account, Facebook still makes a Facebook account for you. It's just invisible to you and maybe they don't want you to have the impression that it is, indeed, just a Facebook account.
I could trigger Messenger to log in to your shadow Facebook account. It will work mostly like a regular account with the exception you (mostly) can't interact with your friends. I reported it as a security bug last year. Somehow after I reported it, the app doesn't do it anymore. Fb security took another 6 months to discard it as a security bug.
I was too disappointed by how much they cared, so I don't even bother to make a blog post about that. I trust both Facebook and Facebook security less after working with them. I don't have a Messenger only account anymore (but then, my Messenger-only account was never deleted). But do they care? Probably not. Do I care? Maybe - but what can I do about it?
Obtain a visa to an EU country and/or sell your account to an EU citizen after May 25, so that they can either file a "right to be forgotten" request under the GDPR, or, generally, engage their "right of a Data Subject to withdraw consent" for personal data to be held against the account.
Does such a request only apply to any data collected during the time while in the EU or all previous data as well? I.e. Could you fly to Europe for a day, put in the request, have my data removed, and fly back?
Thanks. I am a EU citizen (dual German + US) but live in the US. My understanding from reading into it a little bit is that it doesn't automatically apply to me while I live in the US but would if I traveled to europe. I guess some of the nuts and bolts will become clear as things get enforced after May.
Either way this is by far one of the most exciting reasons I've encountered to still have my original citizenship!
Nope, GDPR still applies to you to any country where you travel!
Now, the downside is that small, local companies probably won't care about the GDPR. However, you buy soap (and everything else) from multinationals with European operations -- and crucially, bank accounts.
yup definitely not well supported. I've had a messenger account without facebook for a few years now and the biggest thing that is not supported is that i cannot use the messenger website. it just wont let me log in.
have searched online and cant find anything which leads me to believe that no one really does this.
I noted that, too. Advertisers have become really good at tracking health-related issues. For example, some ten years ago, I bought some device on Amazon for coping with some sensory disability issue. I am still regularly getting ads for the same issue, even if I use the net in a mostly pseudonymous way.
They were in Android apps that had banner ads (TuneIn, and a couple others). I closed my Facebook account in 2014, so I don't consider it recent. It really did say come back to Facebook.
Since creating a new Google account and resetting all of my android devices, I haven't seen any of those ads again.
Now for example, in TuneIn I see banner ads for Google Adwords.
I think this might have a snowball effect. The new disruptor will appear that will initiate a huge shift in users. Facebook will have no time to react quickly enough, which will cost them some chunk of core users. The new platform, since it will be "new" and will initially fix all the Facebook problems will become a cool thing, magnet. Since some core users will be already using it, they will take users with them. Snap had a chance of becoming that but lost. Let us wait for a new disruptor.
This is a very dangerous game, with a lot to lose. It was the same with any other, now dead, giant on the web. Only because people are still using Facebook now, does not mean, that as soon as a worthy competitor will appear, people will move et masse. Facebook is a necessity now, but it might be not, for example, tomorrow.
>The new disruptor will appear that will initiate a huge shift in users.
Kind of. But it shouldn't be a mental model where something like Facebook, but better, comes along. Rather, you should expect something that fulfills the same emotional, practical need or occupies time that makes people use Facebook less, but fulfills a need that better clicks with what people want.
As an analogy, consider how Apple and Microsoft flipped places. It's not that Mac OS was like Windows but better and supplanted them. Rather, smartphones changed the game in such a way that Microsoft's core strengths didn't seem so strong anymore. Apple was able to innovate in such a way because of their DNA as a design focused product company, but those strengths didn't get to shine until the paradigm shifted to favor cohesive product experiences rather than versatile software platforms.
So the thing that supplants Facebook won't look like Facebook, it'll be some better way to keep in touch with people from previous walks of life, get in arguments with your distant family members, and share photos. And it won't happen all at once either. It'll probably sit as some obscure niche for a while as it slowly refines itself and evolves.
> Rather, smartphones changed the game in such a way that Microsoft's core strengths didn't seem so strong anymore.
That was a dependency game.
Windows had created an incredibly strong lock-in effect, leading it to become like an invincible bastion. But at the same time, the bastion's walls make it difficult to connect any device from the outside to it. The same stones the walls were build with are what is dragging the Microsoft ship down.
What we need to realize is that FB is creating and exploiting dependencies, too. I could imagine that a new wave of communication tools would be just much more economical with our time and attention, and would match both to the real importance the people we communicate with have for us.
It actually happened in the form of whatsapp and Snapchat. Facebook tried to acquire both, succeeded with former and somewhat successful copied the later.
Based on history what you've said is true. This feels slightly different though. I feel that Facebook and the other big tech companies are more self-aware and have made bold and smart acquisitions (Instagram and WhatsApp) to stave off obsolescence. It feels like they've built a nice walled garden effectively now. Anecdotally in other parts of the world Facebook is "the internet".
Yet similar services like AOL, Friendster, and Myspace were once big and are no longer what they were. I have no idea what will possibly supersede Facebook but I bet it will be something out of left field.
I think the times have changed, and methods of survival changes also. We can compare previous behemoths, and their lack of actionable strategy to survive, with current times.
I think we are entering much more violent times, where huge corporations will see a crashing end.
If there will be great, easy to use, easy for user alternative to Facebook, that will be able to fill all the blanks quickly, would Facebook's value, stock and revenue withstand for example 250 Million user drop? Those would be the users that are unlikely to come back, and this would initiate huge migration.
There is a time when a company screws one time too many, disruptor shows up at the right time with the right cards in its hand and literally syphon the value out of the big company. This happened many times before. See how Google showed up with better solution, very adaptive strategy and no annoying noise and rip apart the whole search engine niche.
Facebook is "the internet" not everywhere. In Russia (and other countries with many Russian people) major social websites are: vk.com (vkontakte) and ok.ru (odnoklassniki). It's a lot of users who don't like Facebook. Honestly, as a former user of both vk and facebook, I can say thay facebook is very inferior website, it's absurdly illogical with terrible UI. I have no idea why Facebook is so popular. The only reason is network effect, when everyone uses it, some people don't want to stay alone.
Regardless of how self-aware they are and how many times the executives have read "The Innovator's Dilemma", eventually every company makes a mistake by missing a disruptive innovation or shift in customer preferences. No one can be right 100% of the time.
I don't think we will see another Facebook-scale social media service until the shift to AR wearables. However, at that point I think Facebook's disruption will be almost inevitable.
>> Facebook measures how people behave, not what pundits say.
Not that I am disagreeing, but I once read an essay by a famous economist who pointed out that criminals are not as stupid as people think they are because their behavior makes a lot of economic sense if they can lower their risk of getting caught. Combine that with the "1% of turnover" fine that FB copped from the EU, and you can see how they can get away with this kind of stuff.
When you think about it, FB is doing a sort of "micro-doxing" of its user base on a regular basis. But since it happens invisibly, and over a long time frame, they are generally getting away scot free. One day it will catch up to them, and you will start to see folks who worked at FB trying to hide that fact from their resume.
My problem as a mobile developer is being practically required to use it to not hinder my app's adoption rate.
My personal facebook has been disabled for 9 months and I had to recently reactivate it because you can't have an app (for using their auth) without a personal account.
So yeah until the network effect they have changes (the majority leave), people are "trapped" using it.
They are not, and neither are you.
It may affect the adoption rate of your app if you don't include a "login with facebook" option, maybe. But that is a small price we all have to pay to influence change.
it's more like "I am a tiny replaceable cog in a huge money-printing machine. if somebody is going to collect the paycheck anyway, why shouldn't it be me?"
making the hard choice is easy when you have nothing to lose, and it's even easier when you're so rich that the losses don't matter. the folks in the middle have just enough that it would really hurt to lose it. I can't say I blame them for guarding that jealously.
phone # + code is already the most popular method outside of the US, and gaining a lot more traction within the US. Login w/ Facebook does not really affect the success/failure of an app unless you really need their data for your app to work.
No it's device id first (anonymous) then either facebook or email to secure the account. Given the target audience, google auth probably wouldn't be popular.
It's anonymous in the sense that the account is tied to the device and not the user. It's also anonymous in the case of platforms like Apple where the device id is unique between different publishers. Note this is a widely accepted way to refer to device id type accounts on mobile.
> More simply, Facebook will change when users stop using it.
While I totally agree with this, I'm wondering where that tipping point would be with them.
They have (depending on who you believe) somewhere north of 200 million users with some estimates in the 500 million range. Does losing 100 million users impact them at all or their bottom line?
At what point do you think they would actually start changing? How much revenue would they have to lose before they started to make noticeable reforms?
I already see that users are moving out of FaceBook. FakeBook is not delivering value it promised. Some my friends are banned by FB, some are just not using it anymore. I personally was hit by FB moderators because of comment with few first lines from well known poem («Katerina» by Shevchenko, circa 1838). Moderators deny that first, then stop responding, so they know that they are doing wrong and still doing that.
Moreover, I noticed that my comments with links to laws and court decisions on government sites were silently marked as spam and hidden by FB. Moderators are helped me once to fix that, then it happens again and again, and FB refuses to fix that.
I made backup accounts on G+ and local social networks just in case I will be banned again by FB for posting well known poems or links to laws. I see also that traffic is increased a bit on these sites.
I also looking for way to setup my own node of a federated social network, such as Mastodon or PeerTube, but they are too heavyweight.
i deleted my facebook last year and i tell everyone i can at every opportunity to do so as well. statistically invisible isnt actually invisible.
whats frustrating is blogs and comments that carry an air that facebook can change in the user's favor, much less that it ever will. i have read quite a few complaints myself that backtrack once it gets to presenting a positive, constructive solution to the problem (i.e. deleting your facebook) and suggest that facebook can be used by users for their benefit if users change their behavior. this puts an insurmountable burden on users to change a product that they are not in any way shape or form in control of. truly the only thing users have in their control regarding facebook is whether or not they have and/or use an account. deleting facebook is exhibiting control, and i believe everyone should do so.
It appears that the "statistically invisible" commenter is at the forefront of your thoughts, to an extent where you feel the need to address her/him specifically.
"Many people vote with their time and attention." .
Of course. We could argue that you have voted with your comment. The "statistically invisible" commenter got your time and attention (=vote).
"Facebook measures how people behave, not what pundits say."
There is a saying that goes something like, "What you measure you can control." It follows that what the "pundits" posit outside of Facebook is not something Facebook can control.
Its simple. Users and non-users will stop publishing comments about Facebook when Facebook loses popularity.
yes, I know, you, the person about to reply, you are different; that's great, but you're statistically invisible
Sort of like non-smokers in the fifties, but times change. More predictable and depressing than people who don’t use FB chiming in are the people who have endless rationalizations for why they need it. Often the reasons boil down to “network effects” which fits with the tendency of some here to cite Tragedy of The Commoms whenever a hard problem crops up.
I’m so tired of the “I won’t know about my friends’ parties without Facebook” excuse. If you don’t have even enough IRL contact with them, or contact through other channels, to discover all these parties, then... well... hate to break it to you but they might not really be friends.
Willing to admit I’m wrong though. I just don’t think FB is as necessary as you think it is. How did you all manage to have social lives before FB existed?
I think your argument works better as s comparison between mediums, such as telephone vs. letters/meetings and telephone vs. internet. Despite what they would like, FB is not the medium.
Network effects aren't just between mediums as you are defining them: one might call “the internet” a medium, but it's clear that someone using the internet but not Facebook is as locked out and disadvantaged if social communication is occurring on FB as someone who isn't using the internet at all.
> Someone using an encrypted messenger for example, strikes me as being quite connected.
To the network of people using a compatible encrypted messenger, not to people using "the internet" in some generic sense. Network effects definitely apply to each of the options at the level that they have their own network (e.g., "email" is a network, to the extent that it is interoperable; "Facebook" and any particular encrypted messaging system are each their own networks. The utility of each is determined largely by how many and which other people are using them and what those other people are using them for.)
No, FB is not necessary to keep up with events (10-15 concerts/month for me, on average), but it makes it a lot easier and more convenient, especially if you follow the relevant venues and artists. It makes it very easy to invite other people to come along.
I pull my FB list of upcoming events via CalDAV to my local calendar, for local handling of reminders. So yes, I could invite people manually, but it would be a bit of a mess.
FB has all the artists and all the venues in one place. The convenience should not be underestimated.
This is it, in a nutshell. I wish I had a dollar for everyone I've heard or read about, complaining about Facebook, yet they continue to use it. People treat it like it's mandatory, or something. Just dump it, already.
> Google’s core DNA is search and engineering, though some would say engineering that is driven by the economics of search, which makes it hard for the company to see the world through any other lens.
I would nitpick slightly. Google core DNA is advertising. Search is a huge component to driving their advertising business, but let's not pretend that they are driven by anything other than ad revenue.
WPP Group is the biggest in the world. Does Google have the same DNA as WPP Group? Does that mean we can tell what Google will do by watching what WPP group does?
Google was an engineering and search company before they had any advertising whatsoever. There are just things about what Google did then, and do now, that pushed them into an advertising based revenue model.
Google's technology is based on gathering information about the structure of the web and user behaviour. That is their core competency, nobody does it better than them. They leverage that core competency, that killer unique advantage, to earn revenue through advertising. Is HBO's DNA advertising and subscriptions? Sounds like a magazine publisher to me, does HBO have the same DNA as Vogue Magazine or Time?
Yes understanding their revenue model can tell you useful things about the constraints on a company. It can tell you about the forces that act on them to direct their behaviour, but to say that it constitutes their DNA is to put the cart way out in front of the horse.
If Google finds a new revenue stream other than advertising, they will deploy their core competencies to exploit it, just as the carniverous ancestors of Panda Bears adapted to a herbivorous diet. Dont confuse ecological niche for innate nature.
I think you're confusing an ad agency with what I'll refer to as an ad service.
An ad agency works with companies to produce ads. It does the concepting and production of ads(etc.).
An 'ad service'(unsure of proper name) provides the medium of which to display the ads. These include tv stations, google, youtube(owned by google), facebook, amazon, all those annoying ones in free mobile games etc.
That said I agree that just because google provides a platform for ads doesn't mean it's "dna" is based in advertising. It's a core component of the company, though, and drives everything else the company does.
Google was incorporated in September 1998. They closed their A round in June 1999. AdWords launched in October of 2000, but they were selling ads through sales people for quite a while before that. Selling ads was always the plan from day 1.
Yes, as an academic research project. We can quibble over what it means to be "released", but the main point is that when it came time to try to monetize the technology, it was advertising from day 1. No other revenue-generation model was ever tried, or even seriously considered.
It was always in the long term plan though. Maybe not at the very beginning when Google ran their index out of a dorm room, but ads as monitization must have been the plan very early on, even if it took some time to work out the implementation.
> The goals of the advertising business model do not always correspond to providing quality search to users
> For this type of reason and historical experience with other media [Bagdikian 83], we expect that advertising funded search engines will be inherently biased towards the advertisers and away from the needs of the consumers.
> Furthermore, advertising income often provides an incentive to provide poor quality search results.
And most importantly
> But we believe the issue of advertising causes enough mixed incentives that it is crucial to have a competitive search engine that is transparent and in the academic realm.
I think especially the last statement shows very well that they were ideologically opposed to advertisement-funded search engines.
In no way. The last statement very clearly is ambiguous, and does not preclude the creation of ad-driven revenue. They are in fact saying, "These are the problems with current ad-driven search services" and very heavily implying "we're going to do it differently."
> How was Google making a living before advertising?
It wasn't. Every search engine at the time had struggled to make money. It wasn't until Google "borrowed" pay-per-click auction bidding from Overture that advertising became their focus.
I suspect they'd planned to roll out enterprise products. (You know - "the box" - like they did in Silicon Valley). That business started later (circa 2002):
remember the banner ads in search engines before google came about? or how you usually had to go through ten pages of results in order to find what you wanted?
google was an intentional step away from the kind of “engagement” that so much of social media represents — and FB epitomizes. the problem with your argument is that it loses sight of what is really at stake here.
> remember the banner ads in search engines before google came about? or how you usually had to go through ten pages of results in order to find what you wanted?
Not my memory of Altavista. Also, when I google any book ever written, I don't hit any link not trying to sell it to me, just showing me wikipedia copy, and/or trying to trick me into something completely unrelated until around the tenth page.
I moved to Google from Altavista _specifically_ because of how shitty the experience had become.
It was good during the days of digital.altavista.com but they quickly started adding a lot of noise to the point where the actual power of a search was relegated to a small search field and a bunch of hard-to_parse results. Maybe they were not banners, but it was still a lot of crap.
I think Google quickly learned that lesson. I was expecting them to pivot to a website full of gunk but it didn't really happen. For better or worse, they found other ways to make money.
* reviews,
* analysis (historical context, more about author etc),
* other peoples thoughts about that book,
* free legal copy on Guttenberg,
* I am bored and dont care what comes out as long as it is interesting (which excludes selling places due to them not being interesting).
I just don't see the behavior the op is describing.
I tried searching for the last 5 or 6 books I've read, in every single case the results that came up were Amazon and Wikipedia, but also Goodreads, the authors website, at least one review or article about the book, and several had wikis.
In the main results I never saw more than two places to buy the book (unless the authors are selling it directly through their site, I didn't check). The bar on the right side of the page did include additional places to buy the ebooks, but it also includes places to borrow the ebooks, which is a cool feature I didn't even know existed until now.
I would venture to say that the ads are tied directly into their core DNA of search. The ads are tied to keywords and demographics (which is basically an ad searching for the correct person to be shown to).
Google is monetizing on the huge effort and improvements of their search machines. Gmail, Google docs, are just more paths to learn information about their users (investment)
The money comes in from promising to the real customers that they will deliver the right ad to the right eyes.
>would nitpick slightly. Google core DNA is advertising. Search is a huge component to driving their advertising business, but let's not pretend that they are driven by anything other than ad revenue.
How quick people are to forget the 20 page research paper by Larry Wall and Sergey Brin that started all this: "anatomy of an ad engine", I think it was called.[1]
Google could exist even if it was just an empty page with banner ads, as long as it could get people to visit it, for example if it paid Firefox to set it as the default startup ad page. It doesn't really need to offer any services and has never been about that.
I'm very surprised to see this downvoted to -4. So, the actual history is that they came up with the technology first, and when they needed to monetize, they were against the invasive banner ads at the time, introducing text ads instead. Google has been about technological innovation (for example, the introduction of maps was a technological innovation and then required massive acquisition of map sources) and they have done huge amounts of technical work. They've scanned millions of books, turning one page after another.
The idea that Google's core DNA is advertising is simply laughable on its face.
Looks like a duck, acts like a duck. Google lives and dies by their advertising revenue, they made have decided that engineering is a core component that creates all that advertising revenue but it's still just a means to and end
I don't think this fits the analogy. The DNA was/is search tech long before ads came around.
It's like saying Lebron James' DNA is basketball because that's how he makes all his money. In reality, his DNA is his natural athletic abilities. Basketball is something he does well because of it.
At any large company like Google (where I worked for 4 years), if you find a way to leverage a vast existing business (i.e. ads) in what you are offering, then that's naturally an advantage for you. Doing so isn't required to survive as a project within Google and many projects don't fit that mold.
Thought experiment: A Google team develops a search algorithm improvement that increases the quality of results by an order of magnitude, but reduces Adwords revenue by 50%. Would management allow that improvement to be deployed to production?
Wherever you make your money, that's your business. Google's customers are advertisers rather than users, a fact that becomes readily apparent if you ever need customer support. The PR department can spin it however they like, but the accounts department see the truth in red and black.
You are not gonna like this, but Google as any other healthy company would ship the improvement and take the short term revenue hit...they do so all the time!
The incentives are well aligned here because it’s proven that if you improve the product people will use it more in the long term!
Facebook just announced such thing a couple days ago...they are taking a huge hit in time spend (and therefore ad revenue) to increase meaningful interactions between friends and family’s.
What you are suggesting is against so much of the current american business culture that I am going to have to request some evidence here. A consistent complaint about any publicly traded company is that they are incredibly short sighted and focused on quarterly results as that is all shareholders care about.
What you have stated is that none of that is true and that everyone else is incorrect about corporate culture
I personally think there is a huge difference between the old economy and how the new players play the game...it’s really what gives the later a competitive edge in the first place, being more people focused instead of money. It just happens to be that when you do that as an outcome you end up building the most valuable companies in the world!
Facebook is just reacting to reports about fake news and Russian trolls. They don't want their users to be turned off of Facebook, so they're trying to mitigate that threat.
> You are not gonna like this, but Google as any other healthy company would ship the improvement and take the short term revenue hit...they do so all the time!
Only because they are sitting on a mountain of cash. Let’s see if a downturn has them losing a ton of money. The safe bet is on them doing what almost big company does: fight for their core market and avoid risks.
Thought experiment flawed assumptions. Can't reduce Adwords revenue by 50% overnight (unless by a bug). Think advertisers set budgets, they just get spent on different searches.
What could be reduced is the quality, and that could lead to gradually losing of revenue over time. So you have a trade-off between increase of quality here and decrease of quality there. So it really boils down to the ratio of these two quality changes.
The existence of technically focused projects within google doesn't change the fact that the vast majority of their efforts are made with advertising revenue as the overriding concern.
I mean fuck, the projects you're describing used to just be called R&D at companies. Xerox invented the PC, the mouse, the GUI and others in their R&D but that didn't change them into a computer company, they were still focused on printers
The ad business funds the majority of what they do, but that doesn't mean everything or even most of what Googlers are doing day to day is tied to ads in some meaningful additional way or that every product can be viewed through that lens.
The projects I'm describing aren't all R&D. For example the GCP products aren't dependent upon or strongly connected the their ads businesses.
There are many "technically focused projects" that have users but don't relate to ads, as a byproduct of their bottom-up culture (a very real thing there which is sometimes great and other times a massive PITA, especially when trying to accomplish anything cross-PA), or as a response to innovation at other companies. In my experience Google is, for better and worse, not the manifestation of the vision of one or a small number of people, so when I hear intentions ascribed to Google writ large (such as OP's "let's not pretend that they are driven by..."), I laugh.
Does that make sense? I don't think we completely disagree.
Google might do all those things but ads still win. Another poster put up a thought experiment about whether google would take a 50% hit to advertising revenue for an improvement in search results. The answer to that would show what Google actually is, and I believe that Google would not take the hit
Additionally google is not flat management. As much as it might feel at the moment that it's driven from the ground up, if someone higher up the chain can put the kibosh on something below them on the chain, then it is manager driven
edit: In the contrived scenario you referenced, I agree that the internal analysis wouldn't begin and end at simply "put the users first!" :P But since the vast majority of activity at Google isn't in that critical path, I'm not sure how useful the thought experiment is.
>> if someone higher up the chain can ... then it is manager driven
Again, it's not this simple. Things have gradations in the real world.
I've seen the "business case" be ignored because a VP doesn't think they could get their engineering team excited about it because (a) it's uninteresting or uncomplicated to implement and their perf-focused workers will transfer to other, shinier teams or (b) it's counter to the project's culture or philosophy and they will similarly lose people. Google is "management driven" in some scenarios and "engineering driven" in others. It's part of the gallows humor in Google that some mucky muck or PM is unable get their team to do something we think makes business sense.
edit #2: This is what is really meant by "bottom-up" in the case of Google. The specific incentives from their performance review system, the size of and breadth of projects at the company, and the degree of mobility of its engineers combine to give engineers concrete leverage over their management. I've worked at 4 very large companies and Google is an outlier in this regard. A number of success stories at Google can be traced to that structure, and at other times it's criticized as leading to inefficiency or redundancy, lack of focus or long term commitment, etc.
I'm not even sure what we're arguing about. Of course ads dominate the company, it's what drives the most revenue. If you're trying to have an informed view of the place that would allow you to predict or interpret some specific thing they do with some level of certainty, you can't just look at the mean statistic.
>...Xerox invented the PC, the mouse, the GUI and others
While Xerox invented the GUI and other technologies, Douglass Englebart at SRI invented the mouse and Henry Edward Roberts designed the first PC, the Altair 8800
Pretty sure Larry and Sergei don't give a rat's ass about advertisement, they just want to do cool tech (cf investment in AI and self driving cars, among many many other things).
Advertisement revenue is a mean to do all this stuff.
That opinion is typical of the overoptimistic tech guy that drinks the Silicon Valley Koolaid.
The ONLY incentive for Google is amount of revenue, and that means ads.
They are very good to market themselves as a friendly company that cares about engineering more than advertising, but that's Branding and Marketing! And you fell for it.
The comment you're responding to is referring to Larry and Sergey's motivations, while you're referring to Google (as a company)'s motivations.
You both could very well be right. It's (almost always) in a company's best interest to focus on profit. That profit, however, is very often used as a means for the people in charge of that company to march towards their personal motivations, which may not always align 100% with the company (but often overlap enough for a mutual benefit).
You must be kidding. Maybe this could be true for the founders, maybe they would still be nowadays developing cool technology even if it didn't make any money. This is NOT TRUE for Google. This is a company that exists solely to extract money in form of online advertisement. The moment search stops being the best vehicle for this purpose, they will boot out search to continue on their ways.
If that were true then they wouldn't have made decisions that benefited advertising over tech or the product. Do you think they didn't give a rats ass about advertisement when they disabled the "+" operator on search for anything other than google+?
Yeah coal and cigarette industries said the same thing, with blinders on, when all claims of health related problems were poopoo'd. They said no one could have known or imagined or predicted, even though they were and they did but it was dismissed by the gatekeepers.
I see pretty much total shit knowledge of history, ethics, and philosophy in the tech industry. It intentionally has blinders on, zero imagination for anything other than the good intentions rails it's wants to believe it's on. Oh no one could have known, no one could have predicted, you had no evidence that these bad outcomes were possible. It'll be the same excuses we've seen before, because no one wanted to confront the possibility and how to mitigate complex interactions, they just want the ends because that alone justifies everything.
That of course will be convenient when claiming a lack of responsibility for the outcome, shifting the blame, because only good was intended. Now trust us.
And the reason why I increasingly don't trust tech, is because the language the industry uses is consistently dismissive of basic concepts in ethics, merely accepting assertions of "good intentions" as sufficient evidence of ethical behavior.
There is already good tools to stay connected to friends and family, why do people stay in this toxic website ?
Does Facebook deserve our time ?
I deleted my account while ago, also explained my family members how Facebook pays habit experts to steal people's time, runs research on how to manipulate emotions for "science". My mom and dad also happily deleted their accounts, too.
Make a favor to yourself, delete your account. Also help your family delete their accounts, too.
Look, I'm not a huge Facebook user myself, but why don't you list those tools to connect to your family?
Also, if you use Facebook delightedly, it can be a great tool. The trick is to spread awareness of its danger and tell people to use it at caution. At one point or another I think people are going to have to accept that it is a primary form of communication this day and age. Simply telling people to delete the application without better alternatives and citing it's worst flaws are not going to get you very far.
The reason Om cites as why Facebook won't change is similar to the reasons companies don't change in response to disruptive innovation, as described in Christensen's "The Innovators Dilemma." Big companies are too invested in a successful business model for them to easily switch to a new one overnight. Even if Zuckerberg grasps the threat to FB's brand posed by fake news and smartphone addiction, his company is streamlined to operate the way it always has been. The best he can achieve is short term fixes and lip service. Solving these problems would require Facebook to value something other than people's attention. But doing that would cannibalize their advertising business.
> and that’s why all of our angst and headlines are not going to change a damn thing
Of course they won't. But we shouldn't want FB to "change" (meaning, "improve", whatever that means). We should wish it stay exactly as it is, and die.
There has never been a TV in my home. As time passes, I notice my kids tend to make friends with other kids coming from non-tv homes (probably because they have more to share with them, and nothing to say about what was on TV last night.
Those who care enough can raise a generation of social-networks-free people.
Although raising kids without access to TV/social media may seem like a great way to avoid their downsides, like ad targeting, it ultimately only serves to cut them off from their peers.
TV and social media serve as vital cultural references that kids have a social need to be 'in on.' It is one of the most awkward things when you're the only one in a room who has no clue what everyone else is talking about because you didn't see that post, or watch that show.
So while social networks may be bad, it's just as bad to cut kids off from the culture their peers are regularly immersed in.
>The collective outrage over Facebook and its actions might result in a lot of talk, but it won’t really change Facebook, its ethos, and its ethics. Let me explain!
It's a glorified ad company. It will do anything and everything to collect people's data and sell more ads.
Facebook uses all this data to show you ads for things you might want to buy. Wouldn't you rather see that than ads for things you don't want to buy?
I occasionally watch the evening news and I am sick and tired of ads for drugs for old people. I'm not old and I don't need drugs. But the television stations can't target their ads at specific viewers (yet) so they target them at demographics. And old people tend to watch the evening news more than other demographics so that's what they show.
People act like Facebook (and every other company) is gathering data about people for some sort of nefarious plan for world domination. But all they're doing is improving the quality of connections between people making things (advertisers) and people who might want those things (consumers). Is that really so terrible?
> Facebook uses all this data to show you ads for things you might want to buy. Wouldn't you rather see that than ads for things you don't want to buy?
No, I prefer poorly targeted ads. Seeing ads for stuff I might want to buy is more distracting, more tempting, and forces me to expend my limited supply of willpower to resist the temptation.
Targeted ads to me also means that company knows way more about me than I would prefer. Why is that a problem? It might not be. I'm not doing anything wrong. But I have curtains on my bathroom window for a reason. I'm not doing anything wrong in there but I also don't feel like anyone else needs to see it.
Your stated problem is that you're not being targeted closely enough for ads. This is the problem of someone with lots of excess income.
People who are tricked into getting new cars, phones, credit cards or even houses, despite being unable to deal with the accompanying debt, are the victims here.
The irony here is that Facebook - as an advertising platform - has a lot of opportunity to earn more per visitor.
They have traffic but it is relatively disengaged, in terms of commercial intent. Sure, you can target - but there's a long path between looking at your friend's party pictures and actually pulling out your credit card.
Now... if they looked at their content and communities and made a real effort to warm up commercial intent before running the ad... perhaps moved into the content business (for real)... that audience would be worth a lot more.
Without creepy tracking moves. Just by making it easy for someone to follow their interests.
Your comment is quite insightful. They _are_ moving into the content business.
Just one example: I work in the music industry. YouTube has a fingerprinting service is used to pay out royalties on music. The tech is similar to Shazam.. whereby if the girl next door uses "Island In The Sun" by Weezer in her vlog, YouTube detects that song and pays Weezer a small royalty.
The alternative option for Weezer is to block this content (meaning her video would be taken down) but obviously it's in their best interest to monetize.
This is just one way YouTube gets in bed with content producers like record labels.
This same thing is now being implemented in Facebook videos, so clearly that's something they're going to push.. having their users host longer-form video than what is normally seen on facebook. And I'm sure there's other parallel efforts on Facebook's side to get more premium video and gaming content onto their platform.
Facebook recently acquired exclusive rights to broadcast ESL Dota 2 and the reaction has been mostly negative [1]. Players and fans are accustomed to watching professional games on Twitch or using the game client, both of which provide a better experience. Twitch has a very good streaming interface, chat with Dota 2 related emotes, and easy clipping of highlights. The game client lets you view via broadcaster's perspective, any player's perspective (great for learning from the pros) or free cam.
It has turned into a PR nightmare for ESL. They shot themselves in the foot by throwing fits on Twitter and DMCA'ing (in bad faith) other prominent Twitch streamers who broadcast the matches directly from the game client, which is explicitly allowed by Valve.
The whole ordeal seems like a land grab by Facebook. Why would anyone want their friends / family to know they're watching people play video games for hours? Why put up with a terrible streaming interface when Twitch and Youtube are well-known and proven? No one wanted this except Facebook; buying up users to track and monetize them is just what they do best.
> recently acquired exclusive rights to broadcast ESL Dota 2
Yup I heard this as well.
I was just saying that it's not a question of if/when Facebook is making said land-grab into the content space. They're already on the move.
Where does that royalty payment come from out of curiosity? Like does it come out of the money that might go to the person who created and posted the video that used it?
Yes. In the case of the "girl next door" example, she's probably not over the threshold she needs to be to make money from youtube. So the ad revenue is split between youtube and the content owner of the music.
I don't have a ton of insight but I'm sure it gets more complicated when you have creators that get a cut of the money, as well as potentially multiple advertisers in the case of longer videos. But it all comes out of that ad revenue.
I don't use facebook but I was under the impression facebook video has been unpopular so far. I certainly have never heard anyone I know mention that they saw a video on facebook, but maybe that's because they say it's "From CNN" and actually it's from their facebook page?
It's funny to me how many people are outraged at Facebook's focus on data collection and privacy "invasion" for the sake of monetization. Every company is using whatever data they can access to make as much money as possible without alienating their user base.
Facebook might be more aggressive (or perhaps just more transparent) about it. However, to think, as a rule, any company (particularly a public company) is making decisions based on ethics or your best interest is naive. It's all about revenue.
I think there's an outrage because this time Facebook is infiltrating our social lives and interactions to a level never seen before. When was the last time that one company had such overarching power and knowledge into human interactions? It's scary to me, because I can think of ways the general public can be deceived, manipulated, and exploited for commercial gain. Facebook is also quite the monopoly in social media, and as mentioned in the comments, it has already acquired its competitors Whatsapp and Instagram. Facebook has the potential to become very anticompetitive, and it's current practices might be harmful to the general public in the near future.
> I left Facebook on September 23, 2017, and not a single day has gone by when I don’t get at least a couple of emails or some SMS messages trying to get me back
Deleting your account outright seems keep it away forever. There won’t be any going back but I don’t see any way around it. Otherwise they’ll always have something to nab you by.
> And to keep making money in these markets — already a ridiculous $27 in ARPU for the last three months of 2017 — they need us to give more time and attention to them.
And that there is the Achilles' heel of both Google and Facebook: disrupting the attention market.
I've been having a debate with someone on this subject, and it prompted me to run a consumer survey asking people: "Thinking about free services (e.g., print, radio, TV, websites), do you like it when they sell your attention to advertisers?" Yes, No, Undecided.
Of 511 responses, only 6% liked having their attention sold. 68% dislike it, and 26% were on the fence.
Personally, I think there is a huge opportunity to re-invent the attention market. Until then, companies like Google and Facebook will keep stealing our attention and selling it to the highest bidder.
>"Overseas users of Facebook are using the social platform on phones that are usually pre-paid phones and don’t have as much personalized information available from third party sources to create profiles."
Could someone say why "pre-paid phone don’t have as much personalized information available from third party sources"?
Also what are these "third party sources", who would these be in the EU/US? The carriers?
Because the service providers for post-paid phone accounts are also in the business of re-selling your PII to marketers, probably.
You can get a pre-paid with cash in many if not most places. Your identity can probably be deduced from call/text graph analysis, but that's not the same as having the people whom you're paying regularly for the account selling your identity to anyone with a buck to spare.
The Viable System Model[1] for sustainable organizations describes that phenomenon of a "corporate DNA" that defines the unchanging essence of the organization.
The VSM is an theory elaborated from classic cybernetics, the science of feedback-based control, which aims to predict how and if a particular system will be able to adapt to a changing environment.
VSM is a fractal system with five types of blocks organized in three layers (a core defining long-term strategy, a bureaucracy evaluating compliance of defined plans and its adequacy to respond to external threats, and operative units to carry specific parts of the plan). In this model, the strategic core defines which should be the unchanging essence of the organization, while the rest of the system may change more drastically in order to adapt and survive against external threats. (The fractal part is because each component block is in turn divided into the same three layers).
In your opinion is Amazon one of those company that deviates from their core DNA ? Or is their DNA one that strive for novelty and adaptability to constant change (Novelty in business models and constantly challenging themself to find new ways of making money) ?
Unless someone is actively trying to sell the domain on sedo.com (or similar site) the best bet is to use whois to find the owner and email them, we get a few inquiries for our domains a year and we just send back a friendly "no we're not interested in selling" if that's the case. When we've asked to buy other domains, some say they're not selling and some have been willing to it to us... as with all business negotiation is next!
With other countries, sometimes nobody owns the one in question and they will have various willingness to sell it or not, with various levels of paperwork.
"Large companies are somewhat like me - once they get used to a certain behavior, they develop a certain culture and a set of procedures, processes and a work environment that defines them and their future. These define their corporate DNA. It is hard to change. You can't buy new DNA, and companies can't acquire their way into new corporate cultures. Furthermore, companies that lack that self-awareness of their DNA and behaviors, in the end, find themselves extinct.
The Corporate DNA
DNA contains the genetic instructions used to build out the cells that make up an organism. I have often argued that companies are very much like living organisms, comprised of the people who work there. What companies make, how they sell and how they invent are merely an outcome of the people who work there. They define the company."
"You can't buy new DNA and companies can't acquire their way into new corporate cultures." - Om Malik
Is there any other way a company could acquire "new DNA"?
151 "virus" wn "WordNet (r) 3.0 (2006)"
virus
n 1: (virology) ultramicroscopic infectious agent that replicates itself only within cells of living hosts; many are pathogenic; a piece of nucleic acid (DNA or RNA) wrapped in a thin coat of protein
Currently, the predominant business model for commercial search engines is advertising. The goals of the advertising business model do not always correspond to providing quality search to users.
* * *
For this type of reason and historical experience with other media [Bagdikian 83], we expect that advertising funded search engines will be inherently biased towards the advertisers and away from the needs of the consumers.
Since it is very difficult even for experts to evaluate search engines, search engine bias is particularly insidious.
* * *
For example, a search engine could add a small factor to search results from "friendly" companies [e.g., the search engine company itself, its subsidiaries, companies that use AMP, etc.], and subtract a factor from results from competitors.
* * *
This type of bias is very difficult to detect but could still have a significant effect on the market. Furthermore, advertising income often provides an incentive to provide poor quality search results.
* * *
In general, it could be argued from the consumer point of view that the better the search engine is, the fewer advertisements will be needed for the consumer to find what they want. This of course erodes the advertising supported business model of the existing search engines. However, there will always be money from advertisers who want a customer to switch products, or have something that is genuinely new. But we believe the issue of advertising causes enough mixed incentives that it is crucial to have a competitive search engine that is transparent and in the academic realm."
"I left Facebook on September 23, 2017, and not a single day has gone by when I don’t get at least a couple of emails or some SMS messages trying to get me back with notes about what friends have posted recently, or birthdays or other milestones."
Uh, sounds like you didn't actually leave Facebook, dude. To leave, try DELETING your account, instead of just deactivating it.
For what it's worth, I still receive these emails occasionally on accounts that I've fully "deleted" (about once every month or two). I don't get SMS from them, though.
Facebook measures how people behave, not what pundits say.